A research company says prediction markets could become a $1 trillion industry worlwide when fully mature, with $435 billion of that coming from contracts on sports outcomes.

The beginning of 2026 brings in more coverage for prediction markets as a niche stating towards a pivotal year for whole ecosystem. While being so let’s deep dive into few latest news

Prediction Market Trends — Quick Insight On Past week

• Sports prediction markets now contribute an estimated 55–65% of total prediction market trading volume, surpassing political markets. The shift is driven by higher event frequency, predictable settlement mechanisms, and repeat user behavior.

                                                Prediction Market Volume Share (%)

• Live (in-play) markets see ~2.8× more trades per user than pre-match markets. Shorter holding periods and rapid information updates lead to increased liquidity and higher turnover (Another reason for why we are building PRED)

                                                 Average Trades per User (Indexed)

• Across Web3, fast feedback loops matter. Real-world events with quick resolution are outperforming long-horizon speculative products in retention. 24h settlement cycles retain ~42% of users week-over-week, compared to ~28% for long-duration speculative markets.

                                                        Weekly User Retention (%)